Preseason Rankings
Nicholls St.
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#263
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace80.7#12
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#289
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#229
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 12.0 n/a
.500 or above 38.2% 71.6% 36.7%
.500 or above in Conference 64.0% 84.8% 63.0%
Conference Champion 6.9% 17.1% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 0.7% 5.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 4.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.20.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b0.1 - 1.00.1 - 2.2
Quad 20.2 - 1.20.3 - 3.4
Quad 31.3 - 3.91.6 - 7.2
Quad 410.5 - 7.612.1 - 14.9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2018 54   @ Louisville L 71-86 5%    
  Nov 11, 2018 191   @ Washington St. L 77-81 24%    
  Nov 13, 2018 262   @ Idaho L 72-73 39%    
  Nov 16, 2018 48   @ Baylor L 66-82 5%    
  Nov 20, 2018 118   @ Mississippi L 75-84 14%    
  Nov 23, 2018 302   NC Central W 72-70 57%    
  Nov 24, 2018 211   Western Michigan L 75-78 41%    
  Dec 15, 2018 223   @ Boston University L 74-76 33%    
  Dec 18, 2018 210   @ Louisiana Monroe L 71-74 31%    
  Jan 02, 2019 328   @ Northwestern St. W 77-72 58%    
  Jan 05, 2019 330   @ Incarnate Word W 81-75 59%    
  Jan 09, 2019 105   Stephen F. Austin L 73-83 28%    
  Jan 12, 2019 312   Houston Baptist W 85-82 70%    
  Jan 16, 2019 304   @ McNeese St. W 79-77 48%    
  Jan 19, 2019 303   @ Central Arkansas W 83-81 48%    
  Jan 23, 2019 309   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-71 50%    
  Jan 30, 2019 227   Lamar L 74-76 54%    
  Feb 02, 2019 236   @ SE Louisiana L 72-73 36%    
  Feb 09, 2019 292   @ New Orleans W 73-72 45%    
  Feb 13, 2019 230   Abilene Christian L 75-77 54%    
  Feb 16, 2019 312   @ Houston Baptist W 85-82 51%    
  Feb 20, 2019 258   @ Sam Houston St. L 73-74 39%    
  Feb 23, 2019 303   Central Arkansas W 83-81 67%    
  Feb 27, 2019 304   McNeese St. W 79-77 67%    
  Mar 02, 2019 292   New Orleans W 73-72 64%    
  Mar 06, 2019 328   Northwestern St. W 77-72 75%    
  Mar 09, 2019 236   SE Louisiana L 72-73 55%    
Projected Record 12.1 - 14.9 9.7 - 8.3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.1 1.7 0.6 0.3 6.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 3.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 11.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 4.1 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.4 5.0 3.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.1 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.4 1.0 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.2 1.4 0.2 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.7 1.5 0.2 5.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.4 0.2 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.2 4.9 6.6 8.3 9.8 11.1 11.5 11.1 9.7 7.7 5.9 3.9 2.2 0.6 0.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 95.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1
16-2 76.1% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.0
15-3 54.5% 2.1    1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 26.0% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 6.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.9% 6.9 3.8 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.3 0.2%
17-1 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.6 0.1%
16-2 2.2% 2.2
15-3 3.9% 3.9
14-4 5.9% 5.9
13-5 7.7% 7.7
12-6 9.7% 9.7
11-7 11.1% 11.1
10-8 11.5% 11.5
9-9 11.1% 11.1
8-10 9.8% 9.8
7-11 8.3% 8.3
6-12 6.6% 6.6
5-13 4.9% 4.9
4-14 3.2% 3.2
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%